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Pork prices propel rise in inflation

Updated: 2015-08-10 06:47
By Chen Jia (China Daily)

Pork prices propel rise in inflation

This target was just achieved in the first half, but economists also speculate that, due to food-driven consumer inflation, policymakers may hesitate on further monetary easing.

Zhao Yang, chief China economist at Nomura Securities, said that fueling growth, or fighting industrial deflation, should be the government's priority. "It is a more important task than controlling consumer inflation.

"The government will have to spend more on building public infrastructure to sustain growth," he said, and this would be more effective than simply enlarging the credit supply.

Wang Tao, chief China economist at UBS AG, said the People's Bank of China-the central bank-would try to maintain "an accommodative monetary environment" in order to inject more money into the real economy.

"But we don't see a pork-driven rebound in the CPI as an upcoming impediment to monetary easing, as the sluggish economy in general will likely prevent any undesirable surge in inflation," she said.

"Indeed, a modest degree of reflation at this stage would likely be welcomed to dispel deflationary pressures and stabilize China's debt cycle."

Government data also show that last month China's exports suffered a surprising net fall of 8.3 percent year-on-year.

The National Bureau of Statistics plans to release other major economic indicators on Wednesday, and economists are predicting a continued slide in real estate development and industrial output.

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